Tag Archives: Glori Kapital Indonesia

Monday Trading Recommendation from Screening Result

By Adhi Murbini Previously, we have tried to share our analysis from a fundamental perspective with only one article containing a technical analysis perspective. In this special occasion, we will try to share the screening results from one part of our tools in developing our trading plan. Our proprietary screener consists of multifactor analysis such as fundamental, sentiment, and technical …

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Economic Implication Russia VS Ukraine, Inflation and Sanctions After Effect

By Ellerd Vallery Luison Oentoro A week passed, Russia and Ukraine tension escalated to war, the market jumped up and down due to the commodity and metals exported from both countries being put on halt. Why is that? Please have a look key facts below: 70% of land in Ukraine is  farmland, which produces major grains and vegetable oil, such …

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WAR, Geopolitics, Commodity Price Going Up, Inflation Can be Worse, and High Uncertainty

By Stanislaus Adrian Pratama Last Week, Russia and Ukraine were not in a good relationship. Ukraine insisted on joining NATO, meanwhile Russia didn’t like it if Ukraine joined NATO. Situation got worse when Donetsk and Luhansk declared independence and Valdimir Putin supported it. The US and Allies already gave political and economic sanction to Russia as an action as Vladimir …

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7 Summary of The Traded Currency Except The War Issue, Plus The Bond Yield Post Processing Analysis

From the US, the biggest economy in the world is on the rise even though previously there were recession warnings due to the possibility of inverted yield curve. However, we could see that the FED key opinion leader repeatedly calls for interest rate hike and balance sheet reduction. In recent week, we heard that Fed’s Bullard calls for 1 percentage …

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RUSSIA – UKRAINE Intensifying Conflict Elevate Downfall of Several Major Currencies and Stocks

The tension within European continent escalating into new degree, triggered by following factors: Russia deploying troops around Ukraine border amassing around 100.000 troops White House warned that the Russian Invasion of Ukraine could happen any time,  as the Pentagon ruled out deploying troops to defend Ukraine, and sent additional 3000 soldiers to Poland, reinforcing NATO allies. US orders embassy in …

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Economic Recession Warning? The Fed is Panic?

Wednesday, 10 February 2022, US Government released CPI data at 0,6% it makes US inflation continuously incline to 7,5% the fattest pace in four decades. Market responses are different. US10Y is already overheating, 2% touched last week, meanwhile US30Y also rose until 2,3%.It can be good and bad. As bond yield is a leading indicator for strong currency or weak …

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Europe & England Monetary Policy

The Bank of England monetary policy committee establishes monetary policy to meet the inflation target at 2%, and in a way that helps maintain growth and employment. At his meeting which ended on February 2, 2022, MPC chose with the majority of 5-4 to raise bank interest rates by 0.25 percentage points, to 0.5%. The committee chose unanimously for the …

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Rate Hike, Balance Sheet Reduction, Geopolitics, and Omicron spread

Last week, The Fed and Bank of Canada released their monetary policy statement. Canada could be considered as flat or neutral but for sure we could sense the hawkishness from Fed’s Jay Powell. Powell said that the The Fed will react due to inflation pace getting faster than predicted. Quantitative Easing will end in February and then the Fed is …

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Monetary Policy Tightening Policy High Inflation

Inflation in America has reached an all time high since 39 years ago, currently 7% and still going up. Canada also reached 4,8%. This inflation level can be dangerous if not properly controlled and become a hyperinflation risk. When it happened, it weighed so much for the economy itself, slowing growth, recovery, and employment. On 26th of January 2022, Bank …

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Europe is Under Pressure

“The COVID-19 pandemic has entered a new phase with the Omicron variant, which could infect 60% of people in Europe by March, and could bring it to an end, the World Health Organization’s Europe director Hans Kluge says.” “We anticipate that there will be a period of quiet before Covid-19 may come back towards the end of the year, but …

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